Commercial Real Estate · Excel Modeling
SureFire Models is a professional-grade Excel budget model purpose-built for retail lease leakage analysis — so you can see exactly where income is slipping through the cracks and act on it.
See It In Action
A section-by-section walkthrough of the model — from the tenant summary through full CAM reconciliation.
The portfolio-level roll-up where every tenant's recoveries and leakage surface at a glance.
The control panel — expense pools, pro-rata shares, caps, and gross-up assumptions that drive the model.
Per-tenant detail — lease terms and recovery math feeding the summary above.
Recoverable operating expenses reconciled and allocated across the rent roll.
Reconciled recoveries measured against budget to isolate the variance.
The Problem
Scattered spreadsheets, manual reconciliations, and unclear recoveries make it nearly impossible to pinpoint where income is eroding.
CAM reconciliations, sales breakpoints, and abatements go untracked — costing landlords thousands per property per year.
Data lives across lease abstracts, property management software, and ad-hoc spreadsheets that never reconcile properly.
Building reports manually wastes time and introduces errors that undermine credibility with owners and lenders.
What You Get
Precisely identify the gap between contracted rent and collected income across your entire rent roll — by tenant, suite, and lease type.
Compare projected income to actuals at the line-item level. Know immediately where performance is deviating from plan.
Built-in logic for common area maintenance, insurance, and tax recoveries so you can reconcile annually without starting from scratch.
Input your full rent roll once. The model automatically aggregates and analyzes performance across every lease in the portfolio.
Inside the Model
Real screenshots from the model. No mockups, no fluff — this is the actual Excel file you'll receive.
Who It's Built For
Win listings by showing owners exactly how much income they're losing — and what you'll do about it.
Underwrite retail deals with confidence and present clean, defensible budgets to lenders and equity partners.
Monitor portfolio performance, catch leakage early, and protect NOI across your retail assets.
Replace error-prone manual processes with a single model that tracks every dollar and keeps ownership informed.
The People Behind the Model
SureFire Models isn't theory. It's shaped by operators who've owned, managed, and underwritten commercial real estate in the field — not just on a spreadsheet.
The mind behind SureFire Models. Andrew brings institutional-grade real estate finance to the retail leasing world — building defensible, transparent Excel models across development, workout, and investment analysis for owners, brokers, and investors.
Connect on LinkedInOver 30+ years as a retail owner, investor, and hands-on asset and property manager. Walter has lived every line item in this model — from lease negotiation to collections to NOI protection — grounding SureFire in the realities of running commercial retail assets.
Pricing
Simple per-tenant pricing. One payment gets you the full model to put to work across your portfolio.
Secure checkout via Stripe · Questions? Email us first.
Get In Touch
Reach out directly. We typically respond within one business day with answers, a quick demo, or a tailored walkthrough for your portfolio.
andrew@surefiremodels.comDirect line · No forms · No bots